Good morning Traders,

Friday’s price pattern was a bearish evening star, but we have earnings from
a FANG stock so anything goes today.  Let’s take a look at a 1-3 month
expectations for the Nyse and Nasdaq and then analyze the Nh/Nl data:

Nadsaq 1 month

nyse one month

Nasdaq 3 month

Nyse 3 month

As they say, life is like a box of chocolate and you never know what you’re
going to get.  No one can predict the future, but we use the past to keep
our expectations in check.  When indicators get to these levels, markets
are expected to be flat or lower and more so on a one month basis.  If we
remain in a bull market (as evidenced below) on a 3 month basis, there is rarely
a bad time to buy!

Nasdaq Net New Highs New Lows

Nyse New Highs New Lows

We moved the above two indicators back to 2011, to capture the two most
bearish moves from 2011 and August 2015, January 2016.  These make some of
the best long term buy points – but they’re far and few between.  I do
expect something similar this year as the 2009 Bull Market turns over.

With the Net New Highs/lows at a peak, as the line moves lower, it’s
important to understand that we’re still seeing break outs – just fewer and
these are more likely to collapse and retreat back into the base (from a stock
basis).  In a normal / neutral market, the lines should move on both sides
of the scale.  And in a bear market, for the most part, these lines will
remain below zero.  It takes moves like that to make me more bullish – as
I’m currently bearish and can only see minimal upside and maximum potential
downside for the future.  We remain Short on this retest of the previous
highs on the Qs and are looking for a 3-11% move lower from here.

That means we’ll be out with our top 500 covered calls and top stock PUT
options soon as we get more confirmation of a bearish move.

Regards,

www.stockbarometer.com

PS – we’re publishing this article on our sister content sites.  To
subscribe, click the following link:

http://www.stockbarometer.com/cb_dsb.aspx

Click here to get our stock market timing advice and gain access to all 300 of our market timing charts updated weekly.

GoldSeasonality

For other seasonality charts, click here:

QQQ Seasonality

Gold Seasonality

USD Seasonality

Bond Seasonality

Click here to gain access to all 300+ of our stock market timing indicators.

consensus stock market timing indicator

The signal from NAAIM – is potentially Bearish. Subscribe to the Daily Stock Barometer (links below) to find out when to sell this stock market!

NAAIM Quartile 2

To learn more about us, click below:

This is one of our 300 market timing indicators to help traders and investors identify potential buy and sell points.

To learn more, visit www.stockbarometer.com or sign up for our free newsletter at http://archive.aweber.com/awlist3823220

Click here to Visit our Face Book Page and Like Up for our free updates

The signal from NAAIM – is potentially Bearish. Subscribe to the Daily Stock Barometer (links below) to find out when to sell this stock market!

NAAIM

To learn more about us, click below:

This is one of our 300 market timing indicators to help traders and investors identify potential buy and sell points.

To learn more, visit www.stockbarometer.com or sign up for our free newsletter at http://archive.aweber.com/awlist3823220

Click here to Visit our Face Book Page and Like Up for our free updates

The signal from the Consensus Bullish Sentiment Index of Market Opinion – is potentially showing bearish activity for 2017. Subscribe to the Daily Stock Barometer (links below) to find out when to sell the stock market!

Consensus Stock Market Indicator

To learn more about us, click below:

This is one of our 300 market timing indicators to help traders and investors identify potential buy and sell points.

To learn more, visit www.stockbarometer.com or sign up for our free newsletter at http://archive.aweber.com/awlist3823220

Click here to Visit our Face Book Page and Like Up for our free updates

Stock Market Seasonality – QQQ

http://mcmillan-portfolio.com/bond-market-seasonality/

Visit our sites to learn more.

 

stock market seasonality

To learn more, visit www.stockbarometer.com or sign up for our free newsletter at http://archive.aweber.com/awlist3823220

https://www.facebook.com/InvestmentResearchGroupInc/?ref=hl

Trump Rally by Curtis D Brown (originally published 12/15/16)

With what seems like the end to Obama Care I think that small and midcap indexes will benefit the most from this administration. These low marketcap companies can now save on employee health expenses and may apply the saving to other areas within their company which can ultimately improve the company’s earnings.

For the first time in history Americans are in unison on a president. The markets are enjoying the transition to the Trump Administration with all of the promises that he has offered no wonder why the world markets are on a uptrend.

I think the best thing for stock analyst is to pay attention to the President Elect Trump, and see if he uphold his words in relation to lower taxes, increase tariffs on outsourced American companies, and etc, and how will these actions effect companies financial statements. A lot of CEO’s are on the fence with Mr. Trump due to certain biases, but I like this Trump rally and I can see it continuing throughout his presidency.

These lower taxes as well as other administrative promises will create better earnings for companies as well as create more employment opportunities within the United States. I would keep running with the bulls, and once Mr. Trump gets sworn in as the President of The United States I would monitor the markets closely for the first quarter to see any effects that he has on the markets both domestic and international. You can get ahead by doing some stock evaluation with the promised tax rate and see some of the effects.

As for next week earnings I would say get a head start by looking at previous earnings reports and you should also view current consensus. If you have any spare time go to a few locations where the company products are offered and see if there products are selling.

-Curtis D Brown

Curtis D Brown owns a financial consulting business advising clients on all financial matters and positioning for economic changes.  With a degree in Psychology, he really emphasizes market sentiment.  As an accomplished football player and coach, he emphasizes a disciplined approach to trading.

To learn more about us, click below:

This is one of our 300 market timing indicators to help traders and investors identify potential buy and sell points.

To learn more, visit www.stockbarometer.com or sign up for our free newsletter at http://archive.aweber.com/awlist3823220

https://www.facebook.com/InvestmentResearchGroupInc/?ref=hl

The relationship between stocks and bonds is key to interpreting and predicting future price action. The view is that the bond market is so much larger than the stock market, that money flowing in and out of bonds causes movement in other vehicles, such as stocks.

Take a look at the following momentum chart of the QQQ versus Bonds (in the form of TLT) :

QQQ Bonds TLT RSI

What you can see is initial peaks in the relative action cause markets to pause. The second peak – whether it’s higher or lower, tells you if momentum is shifting.

Where are we now? We’ve had our initial peak in Stocks bouncing relative to Bonds and we’re working on the second peak. We at www.stockbarometer.com expect a bearish divergence to set up the next move lower in the markets. Bonds will bounce, gold will bounce and risky assets will fall. But this action will ultimately set up the next best buying opportunity for the stock market! So stay tuned!

To learn more about us, click below:

This is one of our 300 market timing indicators to help traders and investors identify potential buy and sell points.

To learn more, visit www.stockbarometer.com or sign up for our free newsletter at http://archive.aweber.com/awlist3823220

https://www.facebook.com/InvestmentResearchGroupInc/?ref=hl

Traders be on the look out for a top forming this week. This is one of our 300 market timing indicators to help traders and investors identify potential buy and sell points.

Nyse Crash Hindenberg Omen

For the above signal from the Hindenberg Omen to be valid, we need to see the McLellan Oscillator to be negative…it is:

McLellan Oscillator

To learn more, visit www.stockbarometer.com or sign up for our free newsletter at http://archive.aweber.com/awlist3823220

https://www.facebook.com/InvestmentResearchGroupInc/?ref=hl

Traders be on the look out for a top forming this week. This is one of our 300 market timing indicators to help traders and investors identify potential buy and sell points.

AAII Stock Market Signal

To learn more, visit www.stockbarometer.com or sign up for our free newsletter at http://archive.aweber.com/awlist3823220

https://www.facebook.com/InvestmentResearchGroupInc/?ref=hl

Traders be on the look out for a top forming this week. This is one of our 300 market timing indicators to help traders and investors identify potential buy and sell points.

Market timing cycle indicator

To learn more, visit www.stockbarometer.com or sign up for our free newsletter at http://archive.aweber.com/awlist3823220

https://www.facebook.com/InvestmentResearchGroupInc/?ref=hl

Traders be on the look out for a top forming this week. This is one of our 300 market timing indicators to help traders and investors identify potential buy and sell points.

stock market indicators

To learn more, visit www.stockbarometer.com or sign up for our free newsletter at http://archive.aweber.com/awlist3823220

https://www.facebook.com/InvestmentResearchGroupInc/?ref=hl

Cornelius Chapman has joined the www.stockbarometer.com team at Investment Research Group, Inc. to bring you profitable Equity Option Premium trades.

Cornelius Chapman Equity Option Premium Trader

Equity Option Premium Trader will teach you about the complex world of options. Learn how to engage in stress-free trading where the probability of success is higher than normal and the returns are consistent. The biggest problem novice traders have is over trading. Options, if traded correctly, keep you from doing that. Each trade will be accompanied by market analysis of why that trade makes sense and what the stock behavior is that the option is tracking. If you want to learn about stock options, their greeks, expiration dates, and how to raise your rate of return, Equity Option Premium Trader is for you.

Visit www.stockbarometer.com to learn more.

Visit www.stockbarometer.com to learn more and access our indicators.
Oil Seasonality

As 2015 winds down, this view of oil seasonality suggests a bounce is imminent.  Visit www.stockbarometer.com to find out the best way to trade it.

Oil Seasonality

Visit www.stockbarometer.com to access all our research and try the Daily Stock Barometer – 4 weeks for only $1. 

Tim Investor Tim Group Market Sentiment

From this weekends advisory to clients – visit www.stockbarometer.com and subscribe to the Daily Stock Barometer – first month for only $1.  Stock market timing advice for over 15 years!

TIM Indicator

Visit www.stockbarometer.com and subscribe to a trial of the Daily Stock Barometer for only $1 – and get all our timing and seasonality research!

Bond Seasonality

Here is our 2015 seasonality and cycle update.  To access our research, visit www.stockbarometer.com and subscribe to the Daily Stock Barometer.

seasonality and cycles